<\/p>\n
Saudi Arabia\u2019s asset management industry remained resilient during the Iran conflict, with assets under management surpassing $340 billion in the first quarter of 2026 and projected to exceed $400 billion by 2027, Fitch Ratings said.<\/p>\n
The rating agency attributed the sector\u2019s growth to regulatory easing, rising participation from domestic and foreign investors, and an expanding product base across mutual funds, sukuk, exchange-traded funds, and private credit.<\/p>\n
These factors have helped cushion the market against geopolitical volatility while sustaining inflows.<\/p>\n
The growth comes as Saudi Arabia, under its Financial Sector Development Program, seeks to diversify income sources, boost savings, expand investment and financing opportunities, and strengthen its financial institutions, capital markets, and fintech sector.<\/p>\n
Industry AUM exceeded $340 billion at the end of the first quarter, up 17 percent year on year and 4 percent quarter on quarter. Fitch estimates the sector at about 26 percent of GDP, up from 23 percent a year earlier.<\/p>\n
Saudi bank-affiliated asset managers continued to dominate the industry, accounting for roughly 60 percent of total revenue.<\/p>\n
\u201cInternational and regional capital market institutions held a larger share of industry revenue at about 20 percent in the first quarter of 2026,\u201d the agency said in its non-rating action commentary report.<\/p>\n
Private funds remained the largest segment, representing about 54 percent of assets under management, followed by discretionary portfolio management at 28 percent and public funds at 18 percent.<\/p>\n
Private fund assets grew 26 percent year on year and 6 percent quarter on quarter at the end of the first three months of 2026, with allocations concentrated mainly in real estate at 54 percent and equities at 30 percent.<\/p>\n
Assets under discretionary portfolio management declined 0.4 percent year on year and 0.5 percent quarter on quarter, with most assets concentrated in local equities.<\/p>\n
Public funds\u2019 AUM increased 20 percent year on year and 5 percent quarter on quarter, primarily driven by money market funds, while the remainder was allocated across equities, debt instruments, real estate investment trusts, and other assets.<\/p>\n
Fitch said government-led reforms are expected to support the expansion of Islamic funds as the Capital Market Authority advances measures to improve the efficiency of securities activities.<\/p>\n
Proposed amendments include a 60 percent reduction in the minimum capital requirement for custody services, alongside broader efforts to deepen market accessibility, including opening capital markets to foreign investors.<\/p>\n
\u201cIt also approved the establishment of simplified investment funds and the regulation of robo-advisory services. Investment options are increasing with new IPOs and listings, sukuk and bonds, ETFs and private credit funds, among others,\u201d the report stated.<\/p>\n
The Public Investment Fund has also signed additional memorandums of understanding with global asset managers, further strengthening institutional participation and fund anchoring in the market.<\/p>\n
Fitch noted that a recent US-Iran agreement could help improve conditions in capital markets by easing some geopolitical, credit, and broader market risks. However, it cautioned that the deal remains uncertain, with the possibility of delays, non-implementation, or a return to heightened instability.<\/p>\n
Foreign investor participation showed a mixed pattern across Saudi capital markets. In equities, foreign investors accounted for about 44 percent of total buys and 37 percent of total sells on the Saudi Exchange in the week ending June 11, up from 34 percent and 30 percent, respectively, in late December.<\/p>\n
However, overall foreign ownership remained broadly stable at 12.6 percent of free float. In contrast, foreign participation in government debt declined to about 8 percent in the first quarter of 2026, down from 12 percent in 2025, as sentiment softened following the start of the conflict.<\/p>\n
\u201cJP Morgan announced that Saudi Arabia will be added to its Government Bond Index \u2013 Emerging Markets in 2027, which could support debt capital market liquidity, diversification and resilience,\u201d the report added.<\/p>\n
On Tadawul, equity market capitalization rose 7 percent year on year at the end of May, despite volatility linked to the Iran conflict.<\/p>\n
The agency noted that more than 97 percent of mutual funds listed on the Saudi Exchange were Shariah-compliant as of mid-June.<\/p>\n
\u201cSaudi entities remain large sukuk issuers globally; sukuk represented over 60 percent of Saudi Arabia\u2019s debt capital market outstanding at end-May 2026,\u201d the report said.<\/p>\n
Nearly all Fitch-rated sukuk outstanding in Saudi Arabia were investment grade at the end of the first quarter of 2026, up from 97 percent at the end of 2025. More than 90 percent were in the \u201cA\u201d rating category, while over 98 percent of issuers maintained stable outlooks.<\/p>\n
The report concluded that the industry remains exposed to risks including oil price volatility, interest rate fluctuations, geopolitical instability, and broader market risk.<\/p>\n
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