<\/p>\n
Inflation, energy prices pressures weigh on corporate metrics.<\/p>\n
Global corporate credit quality could come under pressure from the economic and financial fallout of the ongoing conflict in the Middle East, says Fitch Ratings.<\/p>\n
In a report, the rating agency said the conflict is boosting inflation risk and raising the prospect of elevated interest rates amid higher energy prices \u2014 which, in turn, represents a risk to corporate credit.<\/p>\n
On a global basis, Fitch is forecasting 2.6% revenue growth for 2026, an EBITDA margin of 17.6% and gross leverage of three times, which represents modest improvement from 2025.<\/p>\n
However, it has reduced its margin forecasts for North America and Latin America and trimmed revenue growth expectations for the Europe, Middle East & Africa (EMEA) region, due to the fallout from the conflict in the Middle East.<\/p>\n
\u201cIf the crisis persists, downward revisions to forecasts could accelerate,\u201d Fitch said.<\/p>\n
The rating agency also revised certain assumptions, including expectations for higher average annual jet fuel prices, and reduced consumption of electricity and gas in the EMEA region due to higher prices, which are expected to dim demand.<\/p>\n
Additionally, it has reduced its expectations for construction activity, as the conflict weighs on consumer confidence and buoys mortgage rates \u2014 which will pressure housing-related sectors.<\/p>\n
Higher gas prices, stronger inflation and reduced confidence are also expected to curb European auto sales in both 2026 and 2027, Fitch said.<\/p>\n
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